Despite our optimistic reports on the Afghan National Army and the transition, they are not ready to assume control. Expect casualties to continue to climb as we transition more areas for our timeline based pullout of AFG.
For the last 5 years I believe our reports on the ANSF have been hugely optimistic in order to meet our “timeline” to pullout of AFG. I don’t believe it was ever meant to be “mission ready” for transition. The Army there is weak, undereducated, and open to corruption. Unfortunately I don’t think they will last long as a complete force, and their effectiveness will decrease 100 fold after the loss on US Intelligence and leadership. Many reports of “Afghan led” operations have been misleading the past few years, and the truth will show soon.
2 good books I’ve read recently on the topic include The Forever War by Dexter Filkins and Little America by Rajiv Chandrasekaran. The former mainly deals with our time in Iraq, but touches on Afghanistan. The latter deals with Afghanistan, even adding some history of American missions there 50 years ago and some insight on why some areas were chosen for our US Marine missions there recently.
I highly recommend both books. I was even able to download them online from my local library for free.